Showing posts with label realism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label realism. Show all posts

Sunday, February 26, 2012

When I free myself…

Shahab Sabahi
Energy and Environment for Development – Policy Analysis Research Group

I cannot imagine my life as otherwise than it is. I have found resources of strength in myself which I believe would never have tapped if I would have been carrying on with my previous mindset.
 
There is a refreshing simplicity in grappling with realities rather than fighting in a fog, of being a perceptible fish in a small puddle rather than a rivet in a gigantic machine.

Societies may be rich with promises, sometimes forthcoming, sometimes with cost, always irreversible, and person can fall hard. I, by myself, promise nothing but accepting realities and keeping up hopes for achieving quality.

I may get little, but I always appreciate what I have. It will be mine. If I get nothing there is no place to fall so it helps creating power to catch up.


Inspired by “Ripples from Iceland” Amalia Lindaal’s book 1962 

Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Powerful state capitalism - Chinese version of capitlism

Shahab Sabahi
Energy and Environment for Development – Policy Analysis Research Group

Economic redistribution, tax preference regime and austerity are new socioeconomic measures that politicians and people are circulating these days. They, with ideological bias, favour one these measures and claim that they get the fittest strategy to solve today’s crises. Some says “it is not rocket science”. Other put its blame on lack of political wills. One views Wall Street as the source of the crises.
Indeed. it is not easy as it may seem. I wish it would have been a rocket science, and then human being could quickly come up with a solution. The problem falls in the realm of social science and it should deal with a big variety of individuals’ interests and behaviours. It enormously contributes in the complexity of the problem.

It is a general consensus that Liberal democracy is the default ideology around much of the world today. In part because it is facilitated by certain socioeconomic structures. From liberalism perspective, one can formulate an abstract framework and prescribe based upon a straightforward solution such as tax cut. Or one with more sympathy to democracy may prefer taxing riches the most and one from the far-left advocates economic redistribution. Despite liberalism offers a well-built socioeconomic structure which has well performed in national and regional levels in developed countries, in our day’s challenges liberalism faces difficulties particularly when its socioeconomic structure is implemented in global scale.

Let me add the liberal foreign policy dimension to the standard assumption which is made by liberalism in regional level. The mobility of money and workforce has lubricated international investments and trade. It has contributed significantly in improving standard of life globally!! This move has generated enormous profits for investors and also increased the number of world-class milliners. It has generated middle class in developing countries while new classes in developed nations emerged in the vacancy of the past middle class. It draws new division lines in labour market.
They are all the fantastic side of a liberal foreign policy.
To analyse some implications of what liberals or liberal democrats prescribe, I take a global perspective and look into the issue in the context of globalization.

Liberals with far-right tendency prescribe tax cut. Giving the above mentioned context, when investors and riches can easily invest WHERVER they wish, at any points of the world (quite literally) where tax level is as low as zero, and can reside wherever they love,

§               HOW can an old fashion tax code in national level which does not accommodate the realities of our days, be effective?

Developed nations have long restructured their economies. New social classes have emerged and political parties are overwhelmingly polarized

§               How can an old fashion tax system guarantee distribution of wealth? Or in fact which wealth? (Liberal democracy advocators’ prescribe falls short)

One of the credits, in the idea of liberalism, is Strong State. It, side by side with the rule of law and accountability, has long proven the sustainability of states. No matter the size of government, strong state is needed to guarantee tax collection, existence of social benefits and services, and the solidarity of nation.
England’s Glorious Revolution was the starting point for modern liberalism. It created a strong state and the constitutional principle that state could not legitimately tax its citizens without their consent. And citizens without paying tax, were not included in.    

Given globalization and mobility of money, lack of a strong global governance and institution, political polarity (and all facts counted above),

§               Does one expect imposing/cutting tax would help to sustain economic growth in developed world?
§               Can one hope a strong state emerge with sufficient authority to collect tax?
§               Can one see a day when states would not owe any penny to private creditors?

Liberalism has always been the finest ideology that has provided a suitable platform for human beings to live up their needs and realize their dreams. It explains why liberalism has been and will remain the default ideology. HOWEVER there is a chronic problem with liberalism as the conservative economist Joseph Schumpeter wrote in his 1942 book Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, that capitalist society was culturally self-undermining.  

So it won’t be easy to solve financial crisis with the means of tax in the context of globalization, unless capitalism can adapt with external forces…..It would be critical moment to chose, being Whig, China-like capitalism, adapt realism and…..or….. 

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Policy design in contemporary democracy

Shahab Sabahi
Energy and Environment for Development – Policy Analysis Research Group

Inevitably the idea of democracy has contributed in human beings' advancements over the course of times. With the demise of communism in the early 90s, the idea of democracy has been pivotal for shaping every political systems, ideologies and doctrines. the idea contains its merits which meet human beings' ultimate desires.
However a key challenge for democracy would be its resilience when time comes for the need of a strong, well-organized, effecient state. When accountability should give some room for subjectively policy goal setting.When time comes to accept altering preveiling institutions where there are polarized societies (politically) for the sake of the state.It is hard but it is reality

From system analysis perspective, a system should properly balance its external and internal forces if it is supposed to be alive. When rigidity (conservative views) wins resilience, and where the realism gives way to idealism (in time of trouble), no matter what system is called or is humans' favourable one, the system will be gone

It is time for realism

Thursday, December 8, 2011

A brief on Confucianism and Critical Thinking

Shahab Sabahi
Energy and Environment for Development – Policy Analysis Research Group

Confucianism posits moral eductaion for nobles who will take office, is the critical point that determines the success of a government and progress of a state. It beilives that nobles who are educated, under this system, will feel a sense of responsibility to their society (Journal of Democracy 11, 2000)

This system believes the art of government and nobles are to correct people and it is fundamental in societies who influenced by Confucinism, "the optimum is what nobles say". The system believes the moral accountability notion maintains NOBLES from any wrong doing (Fukuyama)

Without any value judgment on Confuciosim, it could be said that this system keeps away people from participating in debates. Would it eventually cause to halt the growth as the notion of Critical Thinking would fade away (which is the main value of Freedom and progress)? Does this notion kill curiosity and would lead to the decay of a society?
One may say China, with adopting such a notion, could improve its society and got changes. Will it be sustainable?

Friday, November 11, 2011

Environmental Issue through Realism lens - Policy

Shahab Sabahi

Energy and Environment for Development – Policy Analysis Research Group


Aljazeera news held a panel to discuss a controversial proposition:

 “Is it time to consider shifting efforts away from saving some of the world's most famous species?”

The program claims that in a recent survey of nearly six hundred scientists involved in wildlife protection, sixty percent agreed with the idea of shifting efforts away from species that are too difficult or too costly to preserve in the wild. 

If this proposition is converted into a policy, it would have both moral and environmental implications. Unsurprisingly opposition rejects the proposition and argues that it is absolutely immoral to make the species survival value judgment basing on the business fundamentals and prefer one species at the expense of another. Inevitably, this view is a perfect and rich-virtue attitude.
From idealistic viewpoint, the best policy is the one that addresses the needs of all or at least majority. However realistic perspective underscores few shortcomings in the counter proposition which may raise a couple of questions such as “how can one make value judgment out of the business fundamentals when the species protection needs resources and resource allocation and would be costly?”

Imagine a situation, having scarce financial resources, morality and environmental conscience level high, many people suffer hungers, famines, and water diseases, climate change and environmental degradation threaten, and extinction of some species imminent and no one wishes to forgo its basic rights and needs, so
where should funds be invested? How should policymakers set priorities? In the real world, is it feasible to adopt and design a collective policy to favor the protection of all species while people are desperately in need?

Perhaps priority setting and value judgments are the most subjective and controversial areas of study in the realm of policy analysis and policy making process. Both significantly influence the implications of policies. Despite this consciousness and the acknowledgment that the international community lacks a universal source for value judgment where international public goods matters, a little, for profoundly understanding them, has been conducted by research community. They deserve more research contributions.